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Radiation mayhem if Earth's poles flip

By Jonathan Leake (january 2003, London)

The North Pole is on the move. Scientists have found large holes appearing in the Earth's magnetic field, suggesting the north and south poles are preparing to reverse positions in a magnetic flip.

A period of chaos could be imminent when compasses no longer point north, migrating animals head in the wrong direction and satellites are burnt up by solar radiation.

The holes lie over the south Atlantic and the Arctic. The changes were revealed after detailed data from the Danish Orsted satellite was analysed. Results were compared with data from earlier satellites.

The speed of the change has surprised scientists. Nils Olsen, of the Centre for Planetary Science in Denmark, one of several centres analysing the data, said the Earth's core appeared to be undergoing dramatic changes. He added: "This could be the state in which the Earth's geodynamo operates before reversing."

The geodynamo is the way the magnetic field is generated: by currents of molten iron flowing around a solid core. Sometimes giant vortices form in the liquid metal and they can change or even reverse the magnetic fields above them. Olsen's team believes vortices have formed beneath the North Pole and south Atlantic. If they become powerful enough they could reverse all the other currents, causing the north and south poles to switch places.

Andy Jackson, a specialist in geomagnetism at Leeds University, said a change was long overdue: "Such flips normally happen every 500,000 years, but it has been 750,000 years since the last one."
The change could affect humans and wildlife.
The magnetosphere gives vital protection against searing solar radiation that would otherwise sterilise Earth.

Although the magnetic field would probably not disappear altogether, it may weaken while the poles switch. The resulting surge in radiation could cause cancers, reduce crops and confuse migrating animals, including whales and pigeons.


From the Sunday Times


 

Will compasses point south?

(Tuesday, 20. July 2004, 19:11)

The collapse of the Earth’s magnetic field, which both guards the planet and guides many of its creatures, appears to have started in earnest about 150 years ago. The field’s strength has waned 10 percent to 15 percent, and the deterioration has accelerated of late, increasing debate over whether it portends a reversal of the lines of magnetic force that normally envelop the Earth.

...Last month, the European Space Agency approved the world’s largest effort at tracking the field’s shifts. A trio of new satellites, called Swarm, are to monitor the collapsing field with far greater precision than before and help scientists forecast its prospective state.
“We want to get some idea of how this would evolve in the near future, just like people trying to predict the weather,” said Dr. Gauthier Hulot, a French geophysicist working on the satellite plan.
“I’m personally quite convinced we should be able to work out the first predictions by the end of the mission.”

From the NY Times



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